The invasion of Belarusian troops into Ukraine is not advisable at the moment, but Lukashenka's army can be used for a "distraction strike." Nevertheless, Russia has practically no chance of winning this war.
This opinion was expressed in an exclusive comment by the former Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Lieutenant General Igor Romanenko.
- Retired NATO officer Harry Tabah announced a forecast that Putin is preparing a decisive strike on Ukraine in May. To do this, he conducts mobilization and so on. Do you agree with such forecasts?
“Now the first offensive operation is being completed. The strategic goals that Putin set for his army have not been achieved. Therefore, the other day a meeting was held with the leaders of the power structures and the armed forces of the Russian Federation, at which Putin set the task of achieving these goals without sparing the personnel. It is noteworthy that at the same time he ordered to protect equipment.
Today, Putin's army, thanks to the efforts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, has lost up to a third of military equipment and weapons. It takes time to master more complex equipment that can be thrown to the front. And time is running out.
Where the Russian army has achieved some results, they believe they are digging in, moving to positional defense and gathering forces for a second offensive operation in which they want to achieve the goals set by Putin. - When can this second offensive operation be carried out? - I think that this can happen in 7-10 days (the interview was recorded on March 23. - Ed.). Depending on how long they can pull up the reserves, perhaps even earlier.
– Is there a chance for the occupier to carry out a successful operation? - They have abandoned a large-scale offensive in operational areas, so now they will reduce the offensive to a minimum, concentrate their forces and strike potential in separate directions. The occupiers will be able to advance in certain areas, but fundamentally they will not be able to win the whole war due to this. During the first stage of the war, the task was to destroy the Armed Forces and the state of Ukraine. Now a decision has been made to seize the south of Ukraine to Transnistria, break through a corridor to the Crimea, cut off Ukraine from the sea. This is a smaller task than the previous one.
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