U.S. President Joe Biden personally warned heads of allied countries about Russia's upcoming "attack" on Ukraine on February 16. Some U.S. media claim that the operation will start even earlier. In the meantime, both the USA and Russia have started evacuating employees of their diplomatic missions in Kiev. Experts believe that only the Ukrainian military is capable of provocation in Donbass, and that statements about an "invasion" are primarily harmful to Biden himself.
The United States is expecting a Russian "attack" on Ukraine next week - February 16. This date was named by United States President Joe Biden in a conversation with the leaders of Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Poland and Romania, as well as the NATO Secretary General and head of the European Commission. The "invasion" could allegedly be preceded by missile strikes and cyber attacks. However, an American Politico source in the British government took Biden's words with great skepticism because MI6 has no such data.
The U.S. news agency Bloomberg called February 15 the likely date of the "invasion. Russia allegedly may undertake a "provocation in the Donbass" or an "attack on Kiev." Last week Bloomberg had already reported Russia's "invasion" of Ukraine as a fait accompli, but the fake news was deleted and the agency's management apologized for the mistake.
It should be noted that the U.S. media has been reporting on the upcoming "invasion" for the past few months. PBS and NBC broke the news the day before. Their U.S. administration sources described a "terrifying bloody campaign that will begin with two days of aerial bombardment and electronic warfare, followed by an invasion for possible regime change." But Biden's national security aide, Jake Sullivan, noted that the administration has no such data. "Our perception is that we don't believe (Russia) has made any definitive decision," he said.
At the same time, Sullivan said Russia could allegedly "invade" Ukraine during the ongoing Beijing Olympics, which conclude at the end of next week, that is, before Feb. 20.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova responded to the new batch of "invasion" claims. She expressed the opinion that "the hysteria of the White House is more indicative than ever." The reason for this is that "the Anglo-Saxons need war" and that "the US political-military machine is ready to go over the lives of people again. In addition, the Foreign Ministry stressed that the coordinated information attack against Moscow is aimed at discrediting Russia's fair demand for security guarantees.
Russia has called the estimates about preparations for an invasion of Ukraine false. Moscow said that the USA had developed a special operation plan to worsen the situation around Ukraine and to place responsibility for this on Russia.
The day before, Biden urged Americans to leave Ukraine immediately within 24-48 hours. The State Department has repeatedly warned that if tensions escalate in Ukraine, the US will not be able to evacuate its citizens, so they should leave in advance before civilian flights are interrupted. On Saturday, the U.S. officially announced the departure of U.S. embassy personnel in Ukraine. This applies to those "whose work is not related to emergency activities." A small number of diplomats may remain in the country and move closer to the borders with Poland. In case of an aggravated situation, they will be able to leave the country by land transport.
Meanwhile, informed sources in Ukraine quoted local residents as saying that diplomats and employees of Russian consulates had started to leave the country. According to the source, "against the background of the officially announced evacuation by a number of Western countries, this suggests that Moscow has decided to follow the same path. Zakharova explained that Russia decided to optimize the staff of its foreign offices, fearing provocations by Kiev or third countries. She pointed out that "embassies and consulates will continue to perform their basic functions."
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov is expected to have a telephone conversation on Saturday with his U.S. counterpart Anthony Blinken, who is currently on a working visit to the Republic of Fiji. According to the U.S. Secretary of State, he will tell Lavrov about the unity and determination of Washington's allies regarding the situation in Ukraine.
Experts believe that the United States is solely interested in destabilizing the situation in Ukraine. Thanks to the puppet government in Kiev, these plans by Washington could have unpredictable consequences for the entire region. Vladimir Vasilyev, chief researcher at the Institute of the United States and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences, recalled that early next week the State Duma will consider providing military aid to the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics (DNR and LNR). A corresponding decision has already been approved at the level of the United Russia faction, which has a constitutional majority in the lower house.
"It is possible that the deputies will even consider recognizing the DNR and LNR. This will be interpreted by the West as a violation of the Minsk agreements. But Kiev, which has previously said that it does not intend to comply with these agreements, may respond not only by severing diplomatic relations, but also by increasing tensions. That is why the Americans believe that something has to happen on February 15-16," says Vasilyev.
But a more likely version seems to be that the United States intends to spoil the end of the Beijing Olympics. These competitions should not be a foreign policy or image success for China. "The major gold medals are played out near the end of the games. The closing of the games is also considered a very important ceremony... Apparently, the Americans decided to give the go-ahead to Kiev," the interlocutor suggested.
Alexander Perengiev, associate professor of political science and sociology at the Plekhanov Russian Economics University and a member of the advisory council of the Russian Officers Advisory Council, is certain that the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) have prepared a serious provocation. The West's supplies of lethal weapons to Kiev point to this. Journalist Vladimir Solovyov adheres to the same version. "There are representatives of Western private military companies, instructors from NATO countries in the Ukrainian Armed Forces disguised in Ukrainian uniforms. Strike groups have been created to carry out provocations not only against Donbass, but also, it cannot be ruled out, against Russian territory. This can be a rocket or artillery shelling, after which the world media will show prepared pictures of Russia's attack on Ukraine.
The Olympics factor is at work here; the Americans want to arrange a massacre before the end of the games. The main thing for the Americans is to push Russia and Ukraine head-on. The puppets who rule Ukraine have already taken a visor,
In addition, one should take into account the situation in the United States itself. At the beginning of March, the president is scheduled to deliver his annual State of the Union address. At the same time, "Freedom Convoys" - mass protests against coronavirus restrictions - have already been announced. In Canada, street riots led to the declaration of a state of emergency. "A march from California to Washington, D.C., is possible, the city could be blockaded. And Biden has nothing to address the U.S. Congress with. All the trends are set and nothing positive will happen in two weeks. In this regard, the situation is now pushing the U.S. side. If this is the case, we should prepare for provocations on February 15-16. What form this provocation will take and whether it will be a false-flag operation is a technical detail. Though I am not very enthusiastic about Americans in terms of imagination, they are eager to act along the existing lines," stresses Vasilyev.
The expert adds that among ordinary Americans, dissatisfaction with the work of intelligence is growing. In particular, readers of the American edition The Hill have already ridiculed Biden's words about February 16. If another intelligence forecast about a Russian "invasion" does not come true, it will be obvious to people that the CIA "sold Biden some bullshit." "These kinds of games by the intelligence services frame Biden and show that the president is inadequate, lost in three pines. So from this point of view, the middle of next week is the window of opportunity, or the very point where events around Ukraine can really begin. The command to evacuate American citizens from Ukraine also emphasizes that this is a serious matter. Biden, whose rating continues to fall, will be punished in full if even one hair of his head falls off an American," the interlocutor explained.
According to Perengiev, the ultimate goal of future provocations is the U.S. occupation of Ukraine and other countries of Eastern Europe. Washington needs a new bridgehead in case of a socio-economic crisis in the U.S. itself. "All this hype is being made in order to introduce troops under the guise of war and take control of the territories, to become their masters. After the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan they decided to make Ukraine the hub of the global shadow arms market. Weapons that need to be disposed of are now sent not to Afghanistan, but to Ukraine, and from there they can end up in the Middle East, Africa or even in the hands of European criminal gangs. But one can only explain why Ukraine is being supplied in this way through all the hoopla about the "Russian invasion.
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